Jul 2026 · Market Analysis
Freehold vs. Leasehold: What Actually Happens After Year 60
The decay curve isn't linear — and neither is what it means for your exit.
The common pitch for leasehold property goes something like this: "It's still a 99-year lease — by the time it becomes a problem, you'll have already profited and moved on." That's not entirely wrong. But it misses what actually happens to a property as it crosses the 60-year mark — and why the timing matters more than most buyers realise.
The decay isn't linear
A leasehold property at 80 years remaining doesn't look very different from a freehold at the same PSF. The market largely prices them the same. But cross below 60 years, and things start to change — and the changes compound.
At under 60 years remaining: CPF cannot be used for the purchase unless the remaining lease covers the youngest buyer to age 95. Bank financing becomes harder to secure — most banks won't lend beyond the lease period, compressing your loan tenure and increasing monthly instalments. The resale pool shrinks, because fewer buyers can use CPF and fewer banks will finance it.
The 30-year cliff
Under 30 years remaining, the property effectively becomes a cash-only purchase. The buyer pool drops to almost nothing. Prices follow.
This is the decay curve people don't talk about — not a smooth slide, but a series of drop-offs tied to financing thresholds.
What freehold solves
A freehold property doesn't have a lease expiry. CPF rules apply without restriction. Banks lend on full tenure. Your buyer pool in 10, 20, or 30 years is exactly the same as it is today.
That's the structural argument for freehold — not that it will appreciate faster (it might not), but that it doesn't suffer from the manufactured illiquidity that hits leasehold properties past their prime.
The bottom line
If your holding period is under 10 years and you're buying a well-located leasehold with 80+ years remaining, the decay curve isn't your problem. But if you're thinking generationally — or planning to hold through a full property cycle — freehold removes a risk that leasehold buyers don't always price in at purchase.
Want a second opinion?
Talk to us before you decide.
We're happy to run any property through our scorecard or give you a straight read on whether it stacks up.
WhatsApp us